The falsifiability of actual decision-making models.

نویسندگان

  • Andrew Heathcote
  • E-J Wagenmakers
  • Scott D Brown
چکیده

Jones and Dzhafarov (2014) provided a useful service in pointing out that some assumptions of modern decision-making models require additional scrutiny. Their main result, however, is not surprising: If an infinitely complex model was created by assigning its parameters arbitrarily flexible distributions, this new model would be able to fit any observed data perfectly. Such a hypothetical model would be unfalsifiable. This is exactly why such models have never been proposed in over half a century of model development in decision making. Additionally, the main conclusion drawn from this result-that the success of existing decision-making models can be attributed to assumptions about parameter distributions-is wrong. (PsycINFO Database Record (c) 2014 APA, all rights reserved).

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عنوان ژورنال:
  • Psychological review

دوره 121 4  شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 2014